
Geoeconomics and Financial Markets

Geopolitical and geoeconomic events — from trade wars and tariffs to pandemics and conflicts — rattle markets and stir uncertainty. Investors must understand how tariffs, deglobalization, and policy shifts can disrupt supply chains, reshape terms of trade, and fragment multinational operations. Yet, rushing to react can undermine long-term strategic objectives. The real challenge isn’t predicting the next headline but understanding the context to make disciplined investment decisions. History shows that markets absorb shocks over time, and fundamentals reassert themselves.
At CFA Institute, we do not take positions on geopolitical matters. Instead, we equip investment professionals with educational tools to assess market, economic, and geopolitical risks through a practical, investment-focused lens. The CFA® Program includes core content on geopolitics and global trade, helping investors separate short-term noise from long-term structural shifts.
Today’s investing landscape includes rising protectionism, uncertain trade relationships, inflation concerns, and shifting fiscal and monetary policies. The potential impact on currencies, deficits, and global growth is complex — and often reflexive. In this environment, diversification, discipline, and professional integrity are more important than ever.
Stay informed, think critically, and manage risk with insights from CFA Program curriculum and Research and Policy Center research.

How Tariffs and Geopolitics Are Shaping the 2025 Global Economic Outlook
By Kanan Mammadov

Geopolitical Change: Investors Should Focus on the Long Term
By Marg Franklin, CFA

Don’t Expect Non-GAAP Earnings to Exclude Tariffs — That’s a Good Thing
By Matthew Winters, CFA, CPA

The Dollar's Exorbitant Privilege
By Olivier Fines, CFA, and Urav Soni

Book Review: Markets in Chaos
By Marc L. Ross, CFA

A Guide for Investment Analysts: Working with Historical Market Data
By Edward F. McQuarrie

Geo-Economics: The Interplay between Geopolitics, Economics, and Investments
By Joachim Klement, CFP, CFA

The VIX Index and Volatility-Based Global Indexes and Trading Instruments
By Matthew T. Moran, and Berlinda Liu

The Productivity Puzzle: Restoring Economic Dynamism
By David Adler, and Laurence B. Siegel
Financial Analysts Journal - CFA Institute Member Only Content

Time-Varying Drivers of Stock Prices
By Dat Mai, CFA

Investing in Deflation, Inflation, and Stagflation Regimes
By Guido Baltussen, Laurens Swinkels, Bart van Vliet, CFA, and Pim van Vliet
Refresher Readings – CFA Institute Member Only Content

Introduction to Geopolitics
(2025 Curriculum): This module provides a framework for measuring, assessing, tracking, and reacting to geopolitical risks to improve investment outcomes.

Introduction to Risk Management
(2025 Curriculum): This reading offers a broad approach to risk management, addressing both enterprise and portfolio risk, and is relevant for understanding risk in a fragmenting global economy.

Economics and Investment Markets
(2024 Curriculum): This reading delves into the links between the real economy and financial markets, discussing how economic factors influence asset valuation.