NP Natdanai Promchai (not verified) 25th October 2023 | 5:49am I think you misunderstood, the %K is amount of percent of money you will lose (risk per trade) not a %of allocation to invest the kelly criterion derive from log return of investing E = P*ln(1+R%K) + Q*ln(1-%K) dE/d%K = 0 ; you get kelly formula which is: %K = %W-%L/R E is expected return P is times you win Q is times you lose R is ratio of win/loss in your case 20%/20% is 1 %K is % of money you will lose each time and R is consider using ratio not actual percent of loss because the loss is your %K and the winning is you R*%K Reply
I think you misunderstood, the %K is amount of percent of money you will lose (risk per trade) not a %of allocation to invest
the kelly criterion derive from log return of investing
E = P*ln(1+R%K) + Q*ln(1-%K)
dE/d%K = 0 ; you get kelly formula which is:
%K = %W-%L/R
E is expected return
P is times you win
Q is times you lose
R is ratio of win/loss in your case 20%/20% is 1
%K is % of money you will lose each time
and R is consider using ratio not actual percent of loss because
the loss is your %K
and the winning is you R*%K