No you aren't missing anything:
* managers that underperform tend to get fired
* managers that outperform tend to get hired
* but if you track the performance of fired managers, you find that they tend to outperform their benchmarks
* and recently hired managers tend to underperform their benchmarks.
This would all be consistent with a large noise component to active returns. If these cycles of performance ups and downs coincide with manager reviews then you get the perfect recipe for destroying active returns