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28 July 2015 Enterprising Investor Blog

Alpha Wounds: Benchmark Tail Wags the Portfolio Management Dog

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Active management is under siege from many corners, including passive investment advocates, robo-advisers, academics, and individual investors. The narrative, of course, is that active managers add no alpha after fees. Is active management dead? Hardly. But active management is certainly wounded. And many of these alpha wounds are self-inflicted.

This and other forthcoming articles will seek to identify some of these wounds and propose some possible solutions for practitioners of active management.

Benchmark Tail Wags the Portfolio Management Dog

Chief among the alpha wounds is that the benchmark tail wags the portfolio management dog. What I mean is that benchmarks were supposed to be the foundation for understanding a portfolio manager’s performance after the fact. Instead the investment industry evolved so that benchmarks are now the navigational compass for investment managers before the fact.

How else do you explain a common conversation overheard in our industry that goes something like:

Pension Fund: "We need a new large-cap core manager. Our old one has too much tracking error relative to bench."

So how did we arrive at benchmark idolatry?

A Brief History of the Benchmark

Profitable investment management firms all have one thing in common: assets under management (AUM) scale. There are two ways to grow an asset management firm: one short-term and easy, and one long-term and difficult. They are, respectively, successful marketing and successful investing.

In the beginning of an asset management firm’s life cycle, AUM is very difficult to acquire. Without quality returns there is not much to market to prospective investors. Consequently, in the beginning, firms — often founded by quality investment managers — focus on generating outsized returns relative to their competition.

But then what happens? Inevitably the firm begins to think to itself, "With these returns in hand, we can now gather assets by telling the world our good news story. Scale is now possible. So, too, is that lustrous paycheck we all work so hard to earn." Enter those adjuncts to the business that aid our growth through marketing. Exit growing AUM by earning the returns.

Unless an investment manager is careful at this stage, the focus of the successful investment management firm shifts to pleasing adjuncts to the investment management business — private wealth managers, registered representatives, and consultants among them – rather than its clients. But initially what everyone wanted from an investment manager’s performance was similar:

  • A strategy that had the possibility of achieving clients' financial objectives.
  • A strategy in which returns exceeded the risks in adhering to the strategy.
  • Ideally, risk-adjusted returns that exceeded those of an investment manager’s competitors.

With these three simple bullet points met, clients and the adjuncts were typically happy.

Necessarily though investment adjuncts wanted to identify quality managers from among the vast sea of such beasts. “How do we know that you are as good as you claim in your marketing literature?” “How do we know that you are not taking crazy risks to achieve your results?” “How do we know that you actually have a strategy, and that you are not just a trend follower?” And so on. The questions were many, and they are noble. Fortunately — and I sincerely mean that — benchmarks were invented to help address some of these questions and, most importantly, to help our end clients.

Then whole careers became about refining the process of manager selection beyond simple benchmarking. Philosophical concepts were developed and coupled with hard math to birth new tools. Ultimately what happened is that now if a manager wants to raise AUM through marketing, the price is to clear the preferred mathematical hurdles of the adjuncts.

Particularly pernicious, and especially germane to the current discussion, are the concepts of “style box,” “style drift,” and “tracking error.” If an active manager statistically violates any of these three important concepts, then they likely lose the endorsement of, for example, the consultant who sold the fund to an institutional client. There goes a large chunk of AUM, a measurable amount of operating leverage, and that lustrous annual bonus. Ouch!

The Shackles of the Style Box

The style box was invented because many investment strategies were similar and thus suggested a natural point of comparison. This allowed clients and their representatives to compare active managers to one another, and it also held these managers accountable to their stated strategies. All of this is the work of the angels.

Unfortunately, along the way managers who refused to declare a style because they believed their job was to make money regardless of market and economic conditions did not have access to the rich AUM mine available to those declaring a style box. So most stopped protesting and instead allowed themselves to be chained to a style box.

Also, style boxes became a way of limiting the opportunities available to managers. If a manager is labeled as mid-cap core, then the opportunity set must be the same and thus be smaller. So if you are an active manager with active management skills, you have agreed to be handcuffed in your ability to apply those skills.

The Schizophrenia of Style Drift

If active managers actively search for opportunities to apply their skills to take advantage of the shifting vagaries of asset prices, they now receive the investment industry equivalent of a schizophrenia diagnosis. This comes courtesy of the concept of “style drift.” Style drift was invented to identify managers who, having agreed to be shackled to a style box, had the audacity to attempt to shed those bonds.

The Error of Tracking Error

Last among the benchmark-related concepts that unintentionally make active managers inactive is tracking error. Tracking error compares the actual performance of an investment manager to the benchmark and comes loaded with a qualitative judgment. Specifically, you must beat the style box benchmark while limiting your universe of possible investments to keep style drift low. But should you succeed in this endeavor, then you cannot do so by too much. Else, you have tracking error.

We Active Managers Did It to Ourselves

The preceding may have convinced you that I blame academics, consultants, private wealth managers, and other investment industry adjuncts for the current sad state of active management. But I do not.

Active managers: We have done it to ourselves! In short, we allowed static concepts, such as benchmarks, style boxes, style drift, and tracking error, to contravene our mandate to be active managers. I actually like each of these concepts (and worked for a pension consultant early in my career) and believe they are useful . . . in moderation. But there are remedies to this madness that can restore moderation. Here are some:

Remedies

  1. Earn AUM through performance, not marketing. A majority of your time should be spent on research, not giving presentations to third parties.
  2. Run your firm leanly. If AUM walks out the door because you begin managing money for end clients and not for the expectations of a third party, then you still have scale enough to endure. Remember: good performance news eventually reaches client ears . . . especially in the era of social media.
  3. Remember that benchmark is a noun, not a verb — namely, “A standard or point of reference against which things may be compared or assessed," according to Oxford Dictionaries. Where in this definition does it say that you should navigate to the benchmark? Your job is to navigate away from, and better than, the benchmark.
  4. Talk to your clients and develop a relationship with them so they know who you are and what your investment philosophy is. Then they may develop expectations in alignment with yours.
  5. Be aware of the potentially Faustian bargain entered into when you agree to be measured by third parties in exchange for possible AUM favor.

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All posts are the opinion of the author. As such, they should not be construed as investment advice, nor do the opinions expressed necessarily reflect the views of CFA Institute or the author’s employer.

Image credit: ©iStockphoto.com/CSA-Printstock

28 Comments

A
Ahmed (not verified)
28th July 2015 | 7:40pm

Active managers did it to themselves. That much is clear. I would beg to differ, though, about what really brought about all the damage.
You say it's because they let academic concept contravene the mandate. I say it's because of prevalent poor performance.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2014-06-03/the-nasty-brutish-lif…
It seems most of the times active managers deviate from benchmarks they hurt returns. People came to idolize benchmarks because deviating from them is mostly a bad idea.
Think about it. Active managers could de-emphasize some concepts and unshackle themselves as you suggest but then returns might turn out inferior all the same.
I think the real problem is talent. The industry needs capable calibers that can deliver better performance than the horrible 4 in 5 fail ratio. Hence I agree with the first point on your list of remedies. 'Earn AUM through performance, not marketing.' This really is first and foremost.
Thank you.

JV
Jason Voss, CFA (not verified)
28th July 2015 | 9:58pm

Hello Ahmed,

Thank you for sharing your thoughts. This is part one of a ten part series. I think you will be surprised by some of the other Alpha Wounds that I identify in the series. Expect me to take head on the 4 in 5 fail ratio with that most inescapable of things: data.

Yours, in service,

Jason

AW
Adam Wright (not verified)
29th July 2015 | 8:38am

Hi Jason,

Thanks for this write-up. I look forward to the others in the series.

I find the comments made by Thomas Howard of AthenaInvest to be accurate as well. His hypothesis is that a lot of under performance is due to firm structure. In other words, along with AUM growth, you have committee investing, over diversification, low insider ownership, bureaucracy, "risk management", etc. I am being overly simple in conveying his points of view, so if you have not seen his material, I suggest taking a look.

I think that consultants, advisors, investors, whoever get past simple performance attribution analysis and focus more closely on firm structure, investment process and investment philosophy the future winners become much more clear. Unfortunately, finding good investment managers for the long-term (much like equity selection) takes a lot more effort and qualitative thought than running regression analyses... it also requires patience. What too many of us in the industry suffer from is what Buffett coined as the institutional imperative.

Keep up the interesting writing!

JV
Jason Voss, CFA (not verified)
29th July 2015 | 8:47am

Hello Adam,

Yes, Tom and I have talked at length about the state of active management. [You may enjoy the interviews I did with him on Enterprising Investor, I believe three years ago. Just search on "Behavioral Portfolio Management" on our site.]

Firm structure may be [hint] one of the things in this series [shhhh!], among others.

Thank you for taking the time to share your thoughts so candidly.

Yours, in service,

Jason

Y
tyc (not verified)
29th July 2015 | 4:27pm

I want to blame on academic - junk financial literature. Anyone could create an analysis using a set of specific data to show how their models work (but rarely why it doesn’t work). In addition, once advisors noticed a trend, they simply throw the idea into the presentation and hope investors would just buy into them.

I believe, a firm claiming compliance with GIPS guidance and showing GIPS performance presentation alone isn’t enough. I do hope you’ll have a discussion about performance presentation that would help better educate investors and provide more usefully information then what is currently available on the web.

JV
Jason Voss, CFA (not verified)
29th July 2015 | 6:02pm

Hi,

Thank you for your comment. You may be interested in CFA Institute's work on improving performance presentation, Principles for Investment Reporting. We agree with you that performance presentation should be better. Here is the landing page for this product: http://www.cfainstitute.org/learning/future/getinvolved/Pages/principle… If you want to go directly to the report here is its link: http://www.cfainstitute.org/learning/future/Documents/principles_for_in…

Yours, in service,

Jason

Y
tyc (not verified)
30th July 2015 | 2:50pm

Jason,
This isn’t what I meant by performance presentation. In this blog, so far you mentioned these things: benchmark, style box, style drift, tracking error. We assumed readers understand what each of these analyses are used for and how each of the analysis help explain certain part of the investments.

What seems to be useful for active managers might not necessary be informative to investors / clients. How do we know for certain that investors / clients really understand what these analyses are mean for? Is it just someone nodding their heads an indication of their understanding?

I think a question which hasn’t been touch on is if we are correctly providing information that is useful to the final users (whomever they are).

JV
Jason Voss, CFA (not verified)
30th July 2015 | 3:20pm

Hello again,

Thank you for adding to the conversation. I am not certain whether or not you read the entirety of the Principles for Investment Reporting for which I provided a link, but it argues exactly for what you argue, too. Namely, that investment reporting must be in alignment with, not only a client's investment objectives, but with a client's understanding of those investments. Further, the PIR argues that the same financial information should be tailored precisely for the audience. This means that an investment manager and her client could receive two different reports based on the same data, uniquely tailored to the needs of both. If an investment consultant wants Sharpe and Treynor ratios, style box, style drift, tracking error, and so forth they may have those measures. But if the client doesn't care then they should not receive that information. The unifying factors for all reports are GIPS and the degree to which client goals are achieved. The goal of the PIR is to harmonize performance results with client understanding.

Yours, in service,

Jason

JW
Jay Weinstein (not verified)
30th July 2015 | 3:55pm

Thanks for the excellent piece-- I was about to encourage you to elaborate much further on the "benchmark" problem when I saw this is only part one of ten!

One thing I would suggest taking on-- MANY of the benchmarks themselves are Frankenstein's creations and utterly meaningless. Especially the HFRI and HFRX ones and any "benchmark" purporting to represent difficult asset classes. For example, does anyone really believe the Russell Microcap Index is a useful tool? I managed microcap money for 15 years, and I tell you the index is pointless and managing to it is silly.

After all, the best is the S&P 500 and even that benchmark has construction issues.

Keep up the great work, I look forward to the next nine pieces!

JV
Jason Voss, CFA (not verified)
30th July 2015 | 4:35pm

Hi Jay,

Wow, thank you for your kind words...they are truly appreciated. Also, I love your characterization of some indices as Frankstein's creations. I couldn't agree more.

Regarding the other 9 pieces, alas, I was not planning on returning to benchmarks. However, once I have delivered the other 9 pieces I may return to the subject.

Yours, in service,

Jason