Many stocks shift into value or growth each year. The value premium is stronger among these “new” stocks, especially in contractions, tightening cycles, and high-uncertainty periods, driven largely by across-industry effects.
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Abstract
Each year, a significant number of stocks transition from non-value stocks to value stocks and likewise from non-growth stocks to growth stocks. As a result, about half of value stocks and half of growth stocks are new. We find that the value premium based on new value and growth stocks is statistically higher than that based on old value and growth stocks, mostly driven by the underperformance of new growth stocks. In addition, we find that the large value premium for new value and growth stocks is more pronounced during contraction, the Federal Reserve monetary tightening cycle, subperiods with high long-term yields, and high economic uncertainty. Moreover, we show that the large value premium for new value and growth stocks is mainly the across-industry effect. Finally, international evidence further confirms the findings.