Aurora Borealis
27 November 2014 Multimedia

Humble Forecasts, Bold Diversification

  1. Antti Ilmanen, PhD

Join Antti Ilmanen as he discusses the Kahneman-Lovallo (1993) article, "Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts", where decision makers often have two biases: overconfident/overoptimistic forecasts and being too risk averse in choices.

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