Bridge over ocean
1 September 2012 Financial Analysts Journal Volume 68, Issue 5

Systemic Risk, Multiple Equilibriums, and Market Dynamics: What You Need to Know and Why

  1. Mohamed A. El-Erian
  2. Michael Spence

Using an array of real-life examples—including the current sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone—the authors analyze the underlying dynamics of the periodic bouts of systemic path dependence that affect not only financial markets (their functioning and stability, investment returns, and volatility) but also investment strategy itself. Their analysis explains how sudden shifts in expectations can morph into particularly disruptive multiple-equilibrium dynamics and points to possible implications for market outcomes, market equilibriums, and policy responses.

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