Institutional portfolios exhibit a home bias that causes them to overweight home market stocks and underweight foreign stocks. Institutional portfolios that concentrate on the home country or a few select foreign countries, as well as industries, achieve higher risk-adjusted returns than a fully diversified world market portfolio. An information advantage allows investors to form optimum portfolios that deviate from the world market portfolio.
How Is This Research Useful to Practitioners?
Institutional portfolios exhibit a home bias that causes them to overweight stocks from the
investor’s home market and underweight foreign stocks. What is the cause of this home
bias? Is it a result of a behavioral bias, or is it an optimal response to possessing
superior information about the home market? The authors offer evidence in support of the
latter explanation.
The authors find that portfolio performance is higher when there is a greater degree of
home bias, foreign concentration, and industry concentration. In addition, these returns are
amplified when the investor’s capacity to learn—which the authors measure as
higher “skill” at achieving excess or abnormal returns—is higher, as in
the case of hedge funds. Specifically, institutions with higher skill are found to construct
more concentrated portfolios at both the industry and the country levels, but they show more
foreign bias than home bias. The authors also find that institutional home bias is more
prevalent in the case of higher home market uncertainty, which they measure in terms of
variance and a few other proxies.
How Did the Authors Conduct This Research?
The authors build on the information advantage theory proposed by S. Van Nieuwerburgh and
L. Veldkamp (Journal of Finance 2009), which argues that it is optimal for
rational investors to choose to concentrate their portfolios in countries or in industries
within a country where they have an initial information advantage relative to the average
investor. This lack of diversification allows these investors to achieve higher
risk-adjusted returns.
The information advantage theory also suggests that the greater the investor’s
capacity to learn, the higher the portfolio’s concentration and expected performance.
In addition, the information advantage theory argues that a higher level of uncertainty in
the investor’s home market tends to cause investors to exhibit more home bias because
the benefits from an information advantage are greater.
Portfolio concentration is measured in terms of three factors: (1) home
bias, which measures whether the institutional investor’s portfolio is
overweight or underweight with respect to the investor’s home country compared with
the world market portfolio; (2) foreign concentration, which indicates
whether the foreign share of the investor’s portfolio is well diversified among
foreign countries or is concentrated in one or a few countries; and (3) industry
concentration, which indicates whether the assets are concentrated in a few
industries or are well diversified among all industries, as in the hypothetical world market
portfolio.
The authors use quarterly filings of more than 10,000 institutions representing 72
countries from the FactSet database covering the last quarter of 1999 to the first quarter
of 2010. They use widely accepted measures of portfolio return and risk variables to
calculate institutions’ risk-adjusted performance. The authors then regress
institutional performance on the various proxies for portfolio concentration. The regression
results statistically and economically support the hypothesis that (1) portfolio performance
is positively correlated with portfolio concentration and (2) this positive correlation is
not specific to the United States and holds for institutional investors worldwide. They find
a positive correlation between “home market uncertainty” and home bias and a
strong positive correlation between “skill” and foreign bias. Where both skill
and home market uncertainty are present, there is a significant degree of home bias, lending
support to the authors’ suggestion that uncertain markets allow skilled investors to
make more profitable use of their information advantage.
Abstractor’s Viewpoint
The authors’ results support a theory that is more reflective of institutional
investors’ investment behavior than the traditional asset pricing theory, which
focuses mainly on diversifying systemic risks and assumes that all investors have access to
the same information needed to construct an optimum portfolio. The real world has
information asymmetry, with larger institutions in a superior position to obtain better
information, which they use to earn higher risk-adjusted returns. The only limitation in
this research is the use of “skill”—measured as the decile of excess or
abnormal returns—as a proxy for the capacity to learn. The authors regress the skill
variable against portfolio concentration variables to arrive at conclusions regarding how
the capacity to learn might affect portfolio holdings. But because skill itself is measured
as portfolio outperformance, the results are preemptive and redundant. This research will
foster more research, and it will be interesting to see how asset class concentration
affects portfolio performance.